By State

Bettable — live Kalshi markets (26 states) · yesterday & today, then the ladder

Each card: the two-day chart (yesterday, then today at full width to its midnight — the shaded run is the rest of today), the AAA / GasBuddy / Gap badge, then the ladder. AAA steps from the prior print to the last one and is carried across today (dashed) as the reference every move is measured against; GasBuddy is the live 5-minute average; Kalshi implied its 5-minute record (the line flips to the next day's market at settlement). The header's impl−GB = (Kalshi's implied AAA − last print) − GasBuddy's move so far today: how much more (or less) the market is pricing than GasBuddy has shown. A ≥/≤ marks a ladder the price has run off (a floor/ceiling, not a median). The purple EOD row forecasts only GasBuddy: current state GB plus the average remaining move from up to six prior matching weekdays at the same time of day. AAA and Gap stay blank because this first state baseline does not model the state's AAA−GB relationship. Cards are ordered by the chosen measure, biggest first.