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Economy & business
US real GDP growth in 2035?
GDP growth in 2035?
Before
34%
→
Now
11%
-23 pts
6h
⌄
8¢ spread0 vol · 2.3K OIthin / use cautioncloses in 3396d

Traders now put this at 11%, fell from 34% over the last six hours.

Contract: GDP growth in 2035?

2035 · 0.0% or Below · KXGDPYEAR-35

24h volume 0open interest 2.3KYes market 7¢–15¢ · 7 bid / 205 askView market ↗
Economy & business
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2029 be above 4.5%?
Before
19%
→
Now
12%
-7 pts
1h
⌄
17¢ spread0 vol · 282.6 OIthin / use cautioncloses in 1178d

Traders now put this at 12%, fell from 19% over the last hour.

Contract: Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2029 be above 4.5%?

December 2029 · Above 4.5% · KXUSCPIYEAR-30FEB01

24h volume 0open interest 282.6Yes market 3¢–20¢ · 480 bid / 100 askView market ↗
Economy & business
Fed funds rate at end of 2035
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.50%?
Before
63%
→
Now
72%
+9 pts
1h
⌄
19¢ spread0 vol · 126 OIthin / use cautioncloses in 3338d

Traders now put this at 72%, rose from 63% over the last hour.

Contract: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.50%?

December 31, 2035 · Above 1.50% · KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-36JAN01

24h volume 0open interest 126Yes market 62¢–81¢ · 500 bid / 21 askView market ↗