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SportsMauricio Pochettino: Out from USMNTWill Mauricio Pochettino leave as manager of the US Men's National Team before the start date of the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament based on effective date?Before65%→Now95%+30 pts1h⌄10¢ spread236.7 vol · 465.1 OIthin / use cautioncloses in 1312d
Traders now put this at 95%, rose from 65% over the last hour.
Contract: Will Mauricio Pochettino leave as manager of the US Men's National Team before the start date of the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament based on effective date?
Mauricio Pochettino · Mauricio Pochettino out before 2030 World Cup · KXPOCHETTINOOUT-30
Economy & businessUS real GDP growth in 2035?GDP growth in 2035?Before34%→Now11%-23 pts6h⌄8¢ spread0 vol · 2.3K OIthin / use cautioncloses in 3396d
Traders now put this at 11%, fell from 34% over the last six hours.
Contract: GDP growth in 2035?
2035 · 0.0% or Below · KXGDPYEAR-35
SportsWhen will NBA Europe's inaugural season be announced?NBA Europe's inaugural season announced before Jan 1, 2027Before51%→Now98%+47 pts1h⌄121.8 vol · 199.6 OIcloses in 51d
Traders now put this at 98%, rose from 51% over the last hour.
Contract: NBA Europe's inaugural season announced before Jan 1, 2027
NBA Europe · Before Jan 1, 2027 · KXNBAEUROPEANNOUNCE-26
GeneralGrand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launchWhat songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch?Before21%→Now27%+6 pts1h⌄17¢ spread259.8 vol · 3.1K OIthin / use cautioncloses in 1147d
Traders now put this at 27%, rose from 21% over the last hour.
Contract: What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch?
At launch · :: Post Malone, 21 Savage · KXGTA6SONGS-30
Politics & electionsWho will be Israeli defense minister after the election?Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?Before20%→Now25%+5 pts1h⌄20¢ spread0.2 vol · 783.5 OIthin / use cautioncloses in 1447d
Traders now put this at 25%, rose from 20% over the last hour.
Contract: Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?
Before Oct 28, 2030 · Naftali Bennett · KXISRDEFMIN-30
Economy & businessUS headline CPI inflation in December 2029Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2029 be above 4.5%?Before19%→Now12%-7 pts1h⌄17¢ spread0 vol · 282.6 OIthin / use cautioncloses in 1178d
Traders now put this at 12%, fell from 19% over the last hour.
Contract: Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2029 be above 4.5%?
December 2029 · Above 4.5% · KXUSCPIYEAR-30FEB01
Economy & businessFed funds rate at end of 2035Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.50%?Before63%→Now72%+9 pts1h⌄19¢ spread0 vol · 126 OIthin / use cautioncloses in 3338d
Traders now put this at 72%, rose from 63% over the last hour.
Contract: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.50%?
December 31, 2035 · Above 1.50% · KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-36JAN01