Dontayvion Wicks: 10+ receiving yards
Dontayvion Wicks: 10+
New listings are grouped into desks so high-volume categories do not bury emerging questions elsewhere.
Dontayvion Wicks: 10+
CHI Bears wins by over 27.5 points
CHI Bears wins by over 23.5 points
Cam Skattebo: 5+
Jordan Love: 125+
David Montgomery: 20+
Kyle Monangai: 105+
Eli Raridon: 10+
Kyle Monangai: 4+
Nikko Remigio
Jalen Royals: 2+
Rome Odunze: 95+
Over 30.5 points
Over 27.5 points
Guyana wins by more than 4.5 goals
Marvin Harrison Jr.: 10+
ARI Cardinals wins by over 17.5 points
ARI Cardinals wins by over 14.5 points
Bhayshul Tuten: 5+
Guyana wins by more than 3.5 goals
NE Patriots wins by over 17.5 points
Over 74.5 points
NE Patriots wins by over 14.5 points
Over 71.5 points
Jalon Daniels: 100+
CIN Bengals wins by over 17.5 points
Live probabilities can reveal changing expectations before conventional news catches up. This radar surfaces persistent, liquid moves—not every flickering quote.
Screen: We require a move of at least 4 percentage points, plus at least 20 contracts of 24-hour volume, 50 open contracts, or $20 of reported liquidity. Quoted spreads must be no wider than 30¢.
Measure: Now is the midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask when both exist; otherwise we use the last trade or available quote. Before is the probability immediately before the displayed window. We use rolling 1-hour changes where snapshot history supports them, otherwise Kalshi’s 24-hour comparison.
Rank: Markets are ranked by change size and activity, with liquidity rewarded and wide spreads penalized.
Organize: Headlines excludes sports and routine gas/diesel price contracts by default because those are market data, not breaking news. They remain available in their topic desk and Everything. New listings are ranked separately.